1st Source Valuation

SRCE Stock  USD 68.47  1.14  1.69%   
At this time, the firm appears to be undervalued. 1st Source shows a prevailing Real Value of $78.2 per share. The current price of the firm is $68.47. Our model approximates the value of 1st Source from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as profit margin of 0.38 %, and Return On Equity of 0.13 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting 1st Source's valuation include:
Price Book
1.2888
Enterprise Value
1.9 B
Price Sales
3.9058
Trailing PE
10.5039
Enterprise Value Revenue
4.3143
Undervalued
Today
68.47
Please note that 1st Source's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of 1st Source is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing 1st Source's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the 1st stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of 1st Source. Since 1st Source is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of 1st Stock. However, 1st Source's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  68.47 Real  78.2 Target  76.33 Hype  68.47 Naive  67.95
The real value of 1st Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of 1st Source Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on 1st Source's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of 1st Source's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
78.20
Real Value
79.49
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of 1st Source helps investors to forecast how 1st stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of 1st Source more accurately as focusing exclusively on 1st Source's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
1.611.631.64
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
67.1868.4769.76
Details
Potential
Annual Dividend
LowForecastedHigh
0.960.970.99
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
69.4676.3384.73
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use 1st Source's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of 1st Source's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against 1st Source's closest peers. If more than one evaluation category is relevant for 1st Source we suggest using both methods to arrive at a better estimate.

1st Source Cash

72.03 Million

1st Revenue by Product

1st Source Total Value Analysis

1st Source is at this time forecasted to have valuation of 1.9 B with market capitalization of 1.65 B, debt of 325.05 M, and cash on hands of 144.52 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the 1st Source fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
1.9 B
1.65 B
325.05 M
144.52 M

1st Source Investor Information

About 26.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.29. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. 1st Source has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.03. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.41. The firm last dividend was issued on the 3rd of February 2026. 1st Source had 11:10 split on the 3rd of August 2006. Based on the measurements of operating efficiency obtained from 1st Source's historical financial statements, 1st Source may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average probability of going through some form of financial hardship next quarter.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Operating Profit Margin0.180.3418
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities234.1 M222.9 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Operating Income215.3 M205.1 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile

1st Source Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. 1st Source has an asset utilization ratio of 6.72 percent. This indicates that the Company is making $0.0672 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that 1st Source is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

1st Source Profitability Analysis

Based on the measurements of profitability obtained from 1st Source's financial statements, 1st Source may not be well positioned to generate adequate gross income at this time. It has a very high probability of underperforming in March. Profitability indicators assess 1st Source's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
1985-09-30
Previous Quarter
42.3 M
Current Value
41.1 M
Quarterly Volatility
9.7 M
 
Black Monday
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
The current year's Net Profit Margin is expected to grow to 0.28, whereas Gross Profit is forecasted to decline to about 218.5 M.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.550.7032
Significantly Down
Pretty Stable
Net Profit Margin0.280.2638
Notably Up
Slightly volatile
Operating Profit Margin0.180.3418
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Pretax Profit Margin0.180.3406
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Return On Assets0.00850.0134
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Return On Equity0.120.14
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
For 1st Source profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of 1st Source to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well 1st Source utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between 1st Source's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of 1st Source over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

1st Source Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

The next projected EPS of 1st Source is estimated to be 1.63 with future projections ranging from a low of 1.61 to a high of 1.64. 1st Source's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 6.41. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for 1st Source is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
1st Source is projected to generate 1.63 in earnings per share on the 31st of March 2026. 1st Source earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected 1st Source EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on 1st Source's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as 1st Source, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

1st Source Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of 1st Source's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of 1st Source is estimated to be 1.63 with the future projection ranging from a low of 1.61 to a high of 1.64. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for 1st Source is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
1.87
1.61
Lowest
Expected EPS
1.63
1.64
Highest

1st Source Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of 1st Source's value are higher than the current market price of the 1st Source stock. In this case, investors may conclude that 1st Source is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and 1st Source's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of March 2026Current EPS (TTM)
390.33%
1.87
1.63
6.41

1st Source Ownership Allocation

1st Source holds a total of 24.37 Million outstanding shares. The majority of 1st Source outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to acquire positions in 1st Source to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in 1st Source. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of 1st Source as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Also note that nearly two hundred thirty-six thousand three hundred seventy-nine invesors are currently shorting 1st Source expressing very little confidence in its future performance.

1st Source Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 600 M. Net Income was 132.62 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 421.22 M.

1st Source Past Distributions to stockholders

Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates 1st Source's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in 1st Source and how it compares across the competition.

About 1st Source Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines 1st Source's current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of 1st Source. We calculate exposure to 1st Source's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of 1st Source's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit421.9 M218.5 M
Pretax Profit Margin 0.34  0.18 
Operating Profit Margin 0.34  0.18 
Net Profit Margin 0.26  0.28 
Gross Profit Margin 0.70  0.55 

1st Source Quarterly Retained Earnings

1.02 Billion

1st Source's stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether 1st Source's value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of 1st Source can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of 1st Source represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of 1st, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

1st Source Dividends Analysis For Valuation

The current year's Dividend Payout Ratio is expected to grow to 0.24, whereas Dividends Paid is projected to grow to (30.3 M). . At present, 1st Source's Price Earnings Ratio is projected to drop based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is expected to grow to 0.75, whereas Earning Assets are forecasted to decline to about 1.1 B.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid-31.9 M-30.3 M
Dividend Yield 0.02  0.02 
Dividend Payout Ratio 0.23  0.24 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 4.67  4.48 
There are various types of dividends 1st Source can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of 1st shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from 1st Source directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When 1st pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of 1st Source by the value of the dividends paid out.

1st Source Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as 1st Source does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding24.4 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.315

1st Source Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of 1st Source and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value 1st we look at many different elements of the entity such as 1st's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as 1st Source, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use 1st Source's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes 1st Source's worth.

Complementary Tools for 1st Stock analysis

When running 1st Source's price analysis, check to measure 1st Source's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy 1st Source is operating at the current time. Most of 1st Source's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of 1st Source's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move 1st Source's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of 1st Source to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Portfolio Analyzer
Portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine
Portfolio Dashboard
Portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments
Fundamentals Comparison
Compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities
Stocks Directory
Find actively traded stocks across global markets
Equity Search
Search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets
Portfolio Anywhere
Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device
ETFs
Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world
Commodity Directory
Find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges
Positions Ratings
Determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance